Thinking Machines revenue and valuation

Specter estimates Thinking Machines' annual revenue at $76M to $124M and its valuation at $9.98B to $14.4B. The company was priced at $12B in November 2026.

Updated
Estimated revenue
$76M–$124M
Estimated valuation
$9.98B–$14.4B
Total funding
$7.01B
Founded
2025
Headquarters
San Francisco, United States
Employees
241

Thinking Machines revenue

Specter's model puts current revenue between $76M and $124M.

Line chart of Specter's estimate of Thinking Machines's revenue by month from March 2025 to October 2026, rising from $16M to $97M, with a shaded range that puts it at $76M to $124M today.
Est. revenueConfidence intervalReported revenue
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Monthly data
Thinking Machines estimated revenue by month
MonthSpecter estimateLowHighReported revenue
$97M$76M$124M
$100M$83M$120M
$100M$79M$127M
$100M$73M$137M
$100M$70M$142M
$84M$25M$143M
$97M$22M$172M
$88M$25M$150M
$89M$26M$152M
$88M$26M$151M
$100M$38M$162M
$100M$52M$193M
$86M$34M$138M
$71M$23M$118M
$76M$25M$126M
$64M$21M$107M
$55M$14M$97M
$12M$4.7M$19M
$19M$7.8M$30M
$16M$7.5M$24M

Thinking Machines valuation

Thinking Machines was valued at $12B at its Seed in November 2026. Specter's live estimate sits between $9.98B and $14.4B.

Line chart of Specter's estimate of Thinking Machines's valuation by month from March 2025 to October 2026, rising from $5.31B to $12B, with a shaded range that puts it at $9.98B to $14.4B today. 2 priced funding rounds are marked, the latest a Seed at $12B in November 2026.
Est. valuationConfidence intervalFunding roundUndisclosed roundNews
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Monthly data
Thinking Machines estimated valuation by month
MonthSpecter estimateLowHighReported valuation
$12B$9.98B$14.4B
$12B$8.02B$18B
$12B$8.33B$17.3B
$12B$8.66B$16.6B
$12B$9B$16B
$12B$9.24B$15.6B
$12B$9.66B$14.9B
$12B$9.98B$14.4B$12B (press)
$12B$9.95B$14.5B
$12B$9.98B$14.4B$12B (press)
$10B$8.32B$12B$10B (press)
$12B$9.98B$14.4B$12B (press)
$12B$9.98B$14.4B$12B (press)
$12B$9.98B$14.4B$12B (press)
$12B$9.98B$14.4B$12B (press)
$11B$9.15B$13.2B$11B (press)
$12B$9.98B$14.4B$12B (round)
$5.5B$4.58B$6.62B$10B (press)
$6.2B$1.36B$28.3B
$5.31B$1.26B$22.5B

Thinking Machines funding rounds

Thinking Machines funding rounds
DateRoundRaisedPost-money valuationLead investors
Seed$5B$12BAccel
Corporate roundUndisclosedUndisclosedNVIDIA
Seed$2B$12BAndreessen Horowitz
Grant$9.98MUndisclosedMinistry of Economy, Culture and Innovation

Thinking Machines competitors

The AI development market is a battle between proprietary frontier models and open-source infrastructure.

Thinking Machines and its competitors by estimated revenue and valuation
CompanyRevenueValuation
Thinking Machines$76M–$124M$9.98B–$14.4B
Google DeepMind$2.03B–$4.56BNo estimate
Nousresearch$32M–$49M$1.25B–$1.8B
Poolside$32M–$115M$9.98B–$14.4B
Reflection$23M–$320M$7.18B–$15.8B

Thinking Machines revenue and valuation FAQ

What is Thinking Machines' revenue?

Specter estimates Thinking Machines' annual revenue at $76M to $124M as of October 2026.

What is Thinking Machines' valuation?

Thinking Machines' latest post-money valuation is $12B, from a November 2026 Seed. Specter's live estimate is $9.98B to $14.4B.

How much funding has Thinking Machines raised?

$7.01B across four rounds, from a $9.98M grant in May 2025 to a $5B Seed in November 2026.

Who invested in Thinking Machines?

12 investors, including Accel, Andreessen Horowitz, Ministry of Economy, Culture and Innovation and NVIDIA.

Who are Thinking Machines' competitors?

Google DeepMind, Nousresearch, Poolside and Reflection. Specter ranks 30 competitors for Thinking Machines.

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